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Backtesting

Backtesting is running a set of trading rules on historical price data to see how those rules would have performed in the past.

Backtesting applies fixed rules to old data. You define the entry, exit, stop-loss and quantity, run them over months or years of candles, and the software lists every hypothetical trade with its profit, loss and drawdown. TradingView has the Strategy Tester for Pine Script strategies; traders who code also test in spreadsheets or Python.

It matters because it replaces opinion with a record. You learn how often a method trades, how long its losing streaks run, and how deep the drawdown gets. For Indian intraday traders that last number is the useful one. It tells you whether you could have sat through the bad month without abandoning the rules.

A back-test is only as honest as its assumptions. Indian intraday results change a great deal once you add brokerage, statutory charges and slippage on every trade. Futures data needs correct handling of expiry and rollover. Clean historical data for option strikes is hard to get. A test on a continuous index chart with zero costs says little about what a real account would have done.

The common mistakes are curve fitting and repainting. Curve fitting is tuning parameters until the past looks perfect; the rules then fail on new data. Repainting is worse: an indicator that redraws its signals after the fact will show entries no live trader could have taken. Always hold back a stretch of data the rules have never seen, and test on it last.

Worked example

What costs do to a back-test

Illustrative numbers. A 5-minute Nifty futures rule-set shows 400 trades in a year averaging 6 points gross, or 2,400 points. Assume costs and slippage of 4 points per round trip. The net average is 2 points and the year shrinks to 800 points, one third of the headline. At 7 points of cost the same rules lose 400 points. The signals did not change. Only the assumptions did.

In WizeBuySell

WizeBuySell indicators mark trades on your chart; they are not a backtesting report. We publish no back-test results, accuracy or win-rate figures. Each indicator keeps its past signals, so you can scroll back over roughly the last month and see how its trades played out, losses included. That history ignores costs. During the 7-day trial at ₹199, compare what you see live with what the chart shows later.

Seven days on your own chart. Then decide.

We add your TradingView username and you watch the signals fire live, on the strategy you picked.

7-day trial at ₹199 per strategy, paid by UPI.